Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1.650015 1.904633 2.179934 2.499025 2.857964 3.248508 3.704839
2024-10-20 1.202136 1.540731 1.939993 2.442393 3.054269 3.771657 4.672471
2024-10-27 0.945395 1.329858 1.819016 2.479451 3.339163 4.410805 5.836687
2024-11-03 0.761883 1.165963 1.716247 2.506512 3.595808 5.025700 7.022057
2024-11-10 0.619481 1.025002 1.612691 2.504824 3.798312 5.574393 8.158680
2024-11-17 0.501972 0.894620 1.497947 2.462086 3.925900 6.018837 9.178027
2024-11-24 0.408876 0.782500 1.389357 2.406782 4.018453 6.409140 10.138940
2024-12-01 0.348509 0.712050 1.333067 2.419941 4.207464 6.945696 11.341721
2024-12-08 0.294209 0.641184 1.263826 2.399642 4.335657 7.392729 12.433739
2024-12-15 0.261789 0.604516 1.247029 2.462470 4.599496 8.063167 13.906563
2024-12-22 0.227208 0.556660 1.202278 2.468893 4.765513 8.584620 15.172992
2024-12-29 0.210469 0.542535 1.218289 2.585310 5.128465 9.448362 17.038682
2025-01-05 0.190004 0.517725 1.212428 2.664739 5.441295 10.264553 18.903999
2025-01-12 0.162400 0.471053 1.155828 2.640262 5.564169 10.768417 20.285775
2025-01-19 0.145309 0.445992 1.140856 2.696347 5.841498 11.559388 22.205695
2025-01-26 0.129008 0.419273 1.118058 2.733016 6.083633 12.302465 24.085495
2025-02-02 0.112651 0.388512 1.081132 2.734637 6.255566 12.927456 25.790857
2025-02-09 0.096019 0.352734 1.026434 2.690046 6.328830 13.372211 27.194949
2025-02-16 0.081185 0.318219 0.968852 2.630997 6.365039 13.746390 28.487446
2025-02-23 0.071797 0.298147 0.944546 2.645529 6.556200 14.427702 30.384031
2025-03-02 0.062205 0.274657 0.907161 2.623734 6.665681 14.953864 32.013183
2025-03-09 0.057092 0.265267 0.906648 2.691689 6.976992 15.896568 34.481530
2025-03-16 0.050535 0.248708 0.883106 2.698659 7.151047 16.571369 36.463400